Is an ALP open ticket a gift to Dutton?
The ALP’s decision to run an open ticket in MacNamara (i.e. not directing voters how to direct their preferences on the printed how-to-vote cards) has created the usual heat around …
Putting your money where your data is
Our PoliCast model has consumed quite a bit of brain power and supercomputer time. Now, two days out from the election, it’s fun to wonder whether the statistics sees something …
PoliCast update 01/05/2025
For the final PoliCast before polling day, the polls have caught up with the Coalition. The Hung-o-Meter is now below 50%! The outlook for Labor is now majority government by …
PoliCast update 23/04/2025
PoliCast results 23/04/2025: This week the journalistic narrative has all been about a softening of Liberal support, i.e. how shit the Liberal campaign seems to be. The polls do seem …
PoliCast update 11/04/2025
By Dr Colin Jacobs The Coalition have by all accounts had a poor week culminating in a new housing plan and re-emphasising Nuclear Australia. We will see this week whether …
How the Greens lose Prahran (with difficulty)
Labor’s decision not to contest the Prahran by-election has been called cowardly by some, but in the hard scrabble of politics you sometimes need to pick your battles. Since 2014, …
Victorian Greens leader Samantha Ratnam announces run for federal politics
The Victorian Greens leader, Samantha Ratnam, has put her hand up to run in the federal seat of Wills, in a move that has some Labor figures worried about the …
Renters are angry. Will they flex their political muscle?
Houses have represented more than just a roof over the heads of generations of Australians. Since Menzies encouraged the parents of baby boomers to aspire to become “little capitalists” through …
The Conversation: 10 times this year the Webb Telescope blew us away
It is no exaggeration to say the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) represents a new era for modern astronomy. Launched on December 25 last year and fully operational since July, the …
The war in Gaza (and in the ALP)
The October 7 attacks and subsequent war in Gaza have stirred deep feelings all over the world and Australia is no exception, with few aspects of Australian public life completely …